Unikezelo kunye nemfuno ejongene namaxabiso entsimbi engafanelekanga kulindeleke ukuba bafumane umjikelo wokunyuka

Ngexesha leholide yoMnyhadala weNtwasahlobo, iimveliso zamazwe ngamazwe ezimelwe yi-oyile ekrwada kunye nobhedu lwaseLondon lubonise ukusebenza okuqinileyo ngokubanzi, ngelixa ukhenketho lwasekhaya kunye nedatha yeofisi yebhokisi yefilimu nayo ibonise ukusebenza okuqinileyo, okukhokelela kwimarike ukubamba ulindelo olunethemba lwamaxabiso eendawo zentsimbi yasekhaya emva kweholide. Ngomhla we-18 kaFebruwari, imarike yendawo yensimbi yavulwa kakuhle njengoko icwangcisiwe, kodwa ikusasa le-rebar kunye ne-hot-rolled coil ibonise umkhwa wokuvula okuphezulu kunye nokuvalwa okuphantsi ngosuku lokuqala lokurhweba emva kweholide. Ekugqibeleni, iikontraki eziphambili ze-rebar kunye ne-hot-rolled coil zivaliwe i-1.07% kunye ne-0.88% ngokulandelanayo, kunye ne-intraday amplitudes edlula i-2%. Ngobuthathaka obungalindelekanga bexesha elizayo lentsimbi yentsimbi, umbhali ukholelwa ukuba izizathu eziphambili zinokuba ngenxa yezi ngongoma zimbini zilandelayo:

I-rebound momentum ye-stock market iyancipha

Ukujonga emva kwimarike ukususela ekuqaleni konyaka, zombini i-rebar kunye ne-A-shares ziindidi ezimbini ze-asethi ezichatshazelwe kakhulu yimiba ye-macroeconomic. Iindlela zamaxabiso ezi zimbini zibonisa ulungelelwaniso oluqinileyo, kwaye izabelo ze-A ngokucacileyo zithatha indawo ephambili. Ukusukela ekuqaleni konyaka ukuya ekuqaleni kukaFebruwari, iShanghai Composite Index iqhubekile nokulungelelanisa, kwaye ikamva le-rebar lalandela ngokufanelekileyo, kodwa ubukhulu babuncinci kakhulu kunemarike yemasheya. Ukusukela oko i-Shanghai Composite Index ifike ezantsi nge-5 kaFebruwari, imarike ye-rebar nayo izinzile kwaye yaphinda yaphindaphindeka, kunye ne-rebound encinci kune-stock market. Ukususela ngoFebruwari 5 ukuya kwi-19 kaFebruwari, i-Index ye-Composite ye-Shanghai iphakame inani lamanqaku angama-275, kwaye emva kokuphindaphinda ngokukhawuleza kumaxesha akutshanje, ifikelele kwinqanaba loxinzelelo oluqinileyo lweentsuku ze-60. Ukuchasa ukuqhubeka nokugqobhoza kwixesha elifutshane kuye kwanda. Kulo mongo, ikamva lentsimbi liqhubekile libuthathaka ngokunyuka kwezabelo ze-A, kunye nemiyalelo emifutshane eyayincitshisiwe kwaye yaphuma ngaphambi kokuba iholide yongezwe, ibangele ukuba imarike iguquke ekukhuphukeni ukuya ekuweni.

Ubonelelo kunye nemfuno zikwinqanaba elibuthathaka eliphindwe kabini

Okwangoku, ukusetyenziswa kwensimbi kusekho kwi-off-season, kunye nefuthe leholide ye-Spring Festival, imfuno yensimbi isekho kwinqanaba eliphantsi kakhulu kulo nyaka. Ngokusekelwe kumava adlulileyo, i-inventory yensimbi epheleleyo iya kuqhubeka iqokelela ngexesha leeveki ezi-4-5 ezizayo. Nangona uluhlu lwangoku lweekhoyili eziqengqelekayo kunye ne-rebar zisezantsi ngokwentelekiso kwikhalenda kaGregory, ukuba into yoMnyhadala weNtwasahlobo ithathelwe ingqalelo, oko kukuthi, ngokwembono yekhalenda yenyanga, uluhlu lwamva nje olupheleleyo lwe-rebar ephononongwayo. kwaye ibalwe yi-10.5672 yezigidi zeetoni, ukwanda okuphantse kube yi-9.93% xa kuthelekiswa nexesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo. Uxinzelelo kuluhlu lweekhoyili eziqengqelekayo luncinci kancinci, kunye noluhlu lwamva nje lwetoni ezizigidi ezi-3.885, ukwanda kwe-5.85% unyaka nonyaka. Ngaphambi kokuba imfuno iqaliswe ngokwenene kwaye uluhlu lwempahla luphelile, uluhlu oluphezulu lwentsimbi lunokuthintela ukunyuka kwamaxabiso. Ukususela kwiminyaka edlulileyo, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ensimbi emva koMthendeleko we-Spring ngokuqhelekileyo kuqhutywe ngokulindelekileyo kwe-macro kunezinto ezisisiseko, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba lo nyaka awuyi kuba yinto ekhethekileyo.

Nangona ikamva lentsimbi alizange lifezekise isiqalo esihle ngosuku lokuqala lokurhweba emva kweholide, umbhali usenesimo sengqondo esinethemba elincinci malunga nexabiso lexabiso lentsimbi, ngakumbi i-rebar, kwinqanaba elilandelayo. Kwinqanaba elikhulu, kwimeko yangoku yoxinzelelo olupheleleyo ekukhuleni koqoqosho, imarike inokulindela okunamandla ekuphunyezweni kwemigaqo-nkqubo yoqoqosho olukhulu. Ngexesha elifutshane, kunye neziseko ezithe tyaba, ulindelo oluqinileyo lulindeleke ukuba lube yeyona ngqiqo iphambili kurhwebo lwemarike. Kwicala lokubonelela kunye nemfuno, ukunikezelwa kwentsimbi kunye nemfuno iya kubuyiselwa ngokuthe ngcembe emva kweholide, kwaye ingqalelo kufuneka ihlawulwe kwisantya sokubuyisela kunye nokufunwa ngokulandelelana. Umahluko phakathi kwezi zimbini unokuba yinto ekugxilwe kuyo kumdlalo omfutshane wentengiso kwixesha elizayo. Ngokombono wekhalenda yenyanga, imveliso yeveki yangoku ye-rebar yi-15.44% ephantsi kwexesha elifanayo kunyaka odlulileyo, kwaye ukuveliswa kweveki yeekhoyili ezishushu ku-3.28% ngaphezu kwexesha elifanayo kunyaka odlulileyo. Ngokwezibalo, umda wenzuzo yangoku ye-rebar kunye neekhoyili ezishushu eziveliswe yinkqubo yomlawuli wesityalo sentsimbi.